ODI Match Predictions for CB Series 2008 - Australia India Sri Lanka

Australia vs India prediction
Sri Lanka vs Australia prediction
Sri Lanka vs India prediction

How do they work?

The team performance is entirely deduced on the following factors:

2007 Team performance at locations (Home for Australia and Away for India and Sri Lanka)
Based on the team’s performances during 2007 batting first and second
Possible Team totals based on the players (batsmen) playing and their scoring rates
Possible team totals for opposition based on the players (bowlers) playing and their economy rates as well as strike rates

Do note that on different individual days the scores can vary highly, but the average impact could remain near to this. This is not a recommendation for placing bets and betting. We recommend that the bets be placed using your own discretion and banking on your own luck

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This is always a very interesting prediction.

India batting first scored an average of 271 and 256 when batting second in 2007. Whereas Sri Lanka when batting first scored an average of 254 and 241 when they batted second.

Going by this, would India always win, Simple?

No!

The interesting fact is their bowling. Sri Lanka opposition is likely to be 213 all out on an average. Whereas Indian opposition scores 266 for 6.

India’s weak point is it’s bowling whereas Sri Lanka’s strong point is it’s bowling. Sri Lankans are the most stingy bowlers and to cap it, they take wickets as well.

So, it means that if you average the bowling and batting performances the scores could be like this:

Sri Lanka bats first, it is more likely to win. The likely score bands:

Sri Lanka: 260/261 (based on the average score by Sri Lanka batting first in an away series in 2007, and the average score based on the players playing in this match.)

India: 235/284 (based on the average score by india batting second in 2007 in an away series, and the average score based on the players playing in this match. Actually with Yuvraj not playing the average scores may go down by another 6-10 runs)

60% lieklihood that Sri Lanka may win by a margin of 10-25 runs, or 40% likely India can win by about 3-5 wickets

If India bats first, it has a 70% chance of victory. The likely score bands:

India: 242/284 (based on the average score by india batting first in 2007 in an away series, and the average score based on the players playing in this match. Actually with Yuvraj not playing the average scores may go down by another 6-10 runs)
Sri Lanka: 254/261 (based on the average score by Sri Lanka batting second in an away series in 2007, and the average score based on the players playing in this match.)

70% likelihood that India may win by 20-30 runs, else 30% likely Sri Lanka may win by 4-6 wickets.

So overall prediction is 55% India and 45% Sri Lanka

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If Australia bats first, it is most likely to win. The likely score bands:

Australia: 273/294 (based on the average score by Australia batting first in a home series in 2007, and the average score based on the players playing in this match. If Hopes is played, Australia are likely to score an extra 15-20 runs)

India: 256/264 (based on the average score by india batting second in 2007 in an away series, and the average score based on the players playing in this match. Actually with Yuvraj not playing the average scores may go down by another 6-10 runs)

Australia may win by a margin of 10-40 runs. But if Hopes plays and Yuvraj doesn’t play, the margin may increase by another 25 runs.

If India bats first, it has a 55% chance of victory. The likely score bands:

India: 264/271 (based on the average score by india batting first in 2007 in an away series, and the average score based on the players playing in this match. Actually with Yuvraj not playing the average scores may go down by another 6-10 runs)
Australia: 260/273 (based on the average score by Australia batting second in a home series in 2007, and the average score based on the players playing in this match. If Hopes is played, Australia are likely to score an extra 15-20 runs)

India may win by 5-10 runs, else Australia may win by 4-6 wickets. But if Hopes plays and Yuvraj doesn’t play, the margin may increase by another 25 runs, which means that the chance of India winning would be just about 25% and Australia may win by 5-7 wickets.

Another important fact:
Indian team’s score based on statistics of present team is 256 for 9 (without Yuvraj), and they are likely to restrict an average opposition to 266 for 7. So the present team is likely to win 40% of matches they play
Australian team’s score based on statistics of present team is 296 for 5 (with Hopes), and they are likely to restrict an average opposition to 243 for 9. So the present team is likely to win 80% of the matches they play.

This is solely based on statistical analysis of the author and has no derivation from any existing article or piece of work.

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